Neural Network-Based Parameter Estimation of a Labour Market Agent-Based Model
AI 摘要
该论文使用神经网络进行劳动力市场ABM的参数估计,提高了效率。
主要贡献
- 提出基于神经网络的ABM参数估计方法
- 应用于劳动力市场ABM
- 验证了方法在合成数据和真实数据上的有效性
方法论
使用基于神经网络的模拟推断框架(SBI)估计ABM参数,并与传统贝叶斯方法进行比较。
原文摘要
Agent-based modelling (ABM) is a widespread approach to simulate complex systems. Advancements in computational processing and storage have facilitated the adoption of ABMs across many fields; however, ABMs face challenges that limit their use as decision-support tools. A significant issue is parameter estimation in large-scale ABMs, particularly due to computational constraints on exploring the parameter space. This study evaluates a state-of-the-art simulation-based inference (SBI) framework that uses neural networks (NN) for parameter estimation. This framework is applied to an established labour market ABM based on job transition networks. The ABM is initiated with synthetic datasets and the real U.S. labour market. Next, we compare the effectiveness of summary statistics derived from a list of statistical measures with that learned by an embedded NN. The results demonstrate that the NN-based approach recovers the original parameters when evaluating posterior distributions across various dataset scales and improves efficiency compared to traditional Bayesian methods.